16 Oct 2012 4:53 PM:
One small but important point which no-one has yet raised....whilst it is true that Spain's crisis stems from the enormous volume of private and corporate debt, largely generated during the construction boom, the then Government was powerless to regulate the flow of cheap credit that came, mainly from German financial institutions, once Spain had joined the eurozone.
The Maastricht Treaty, if I remember rightly, enshrined into EU law the free movement of goods, people and capital. There was no way any Government of any EU member state could have regulated the inward flow of capital, even if it wished to...and most didn't.
Unlike Greece, where debt is mainly Government-owned, Spanish borrowers, both corporate and private, went on a massive borrowing spree largely centred around the construction sector. Spain has the largest proportion of home-owners in the EU at over 80%. A large number of Spaniards own second homes.
When the boom turned to bust, as booms eventually do -capitalism is cyclical - millions found themselves without work. Government borrowing soared to pay for the rising welfare bill. Treasury bond yields rose to unsustainable heights. Many people were unable to repay the loans they had taken out to buy property. We see the results all around us..Se Vende...
There has indeed been slight upward movement in house/apartment sales in recent months but thos has been accompanied by falling sales prices. It would seem that there is still some downward movement on prices to come before they bottom out.
Meanwhile, national and regional deficits combined with pressures for regional independence -Catalunya will not be the only region to break away if the Catalans achieve independence - and the certitude of a request for a bail-out after next month's elections all combine to create a situation of extreme volatility and the likeihood of a return to anything resembling 'normality' in the next five years is remote.
This message was last edited by praguepix on 16/10/2012.
This message was last edited by praguepix on 16/10/2012.
Thread:
Spanish public holidays, should they be moved?
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