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70% of expats in EU are considering moving back to UK
Saturday, December 19, 2009

New research launched by leading foreign exchange provider, Moneycorp, reveals that nearly three quarters (70%) of Brits living in Europe are now thinking about moving back to the UK. The survey uncovers that job security is the biggest fear for UK expats living in Europe, with one in three (35%) worrying about losing their job.

The declining value of overseas property prices came second in the top list of worries for Brits living in Europe, followed closely by the weakening pound. As countries feel the effects of the global downturn, Brits living in Spain topped the poll as the most worried about losing their job. The poll revealed 41% of expats in Spain fear for their job in the future and nearly four in ten (37%) are now considering a move back to the UK. 

Brits living in Spain are particularly worried as the country is lagging behind the rest of the eurozone in its rate of economic recovery. The country’s current unemployment rate of 17.9% is impacting expats in the country, especially as many of the jobs that have disappeared have been in the property market – a key sector for UK émigrés. 

Expats living in Germany top the poll (38%) of those seeking a move back to the UK, followed by expats in Spain (37%), Italy (34%) and France (33%). The main reason for expats in Germany moving back home is for their career. This could be due to the large population of military personnel based there – over 54,000 Brits comprise the ‘British Forces Germany’ military community. 

David Kerns, Head of Private Clients at Moneycorp, comments: “Our research findings highlight the real impact of the downturn for Brits living abroad. As businesses across Europe continue to cut costs, we could see a surge of expats return to the UK. Unemployment in Spain is evident with many jobs tied to the struggling property sector and new job prospects for younger Brits in the country have all but vanished. 

In light of the worsening economic conditions, Brits living abroad should take immediate steps to obtain a clear overview of where their financial risks lie. If relying on income from the UK, British expats should consult a currency specialist to understand how to guard their finances against currency risks. Of course if British expats are coming home, they should be wary of the effects that the weak pound will have on them and should seek guidance from a currency expert to make the most of the money they take back to the UK.”

Rest of the world

Respondents in the USA are also extremely worried about their current financial situation, with a fifth (20%) claiming to feel this way. The downturn in the US has been longer and deeper than many other countries with a rising unemployment rate of 9.5% (from 4.8% in April 2008), and expats are feeling the effects. Expats in the US are more likely to have relocated here because of their career compared to Brits living in other countries (35% claimed that this was the case).

Brits living in Australia are the least likely to move back to the UK (2%) – a reflection of how much they have severed ties with their homeland. British expats here also have most confidence when it comes to their finances, with the largest proportion (37%) claiming that they have no concerns about current climate.

Almost half of respondents (48%) in Canada reported that family and friends would be the main reason for moving back to the UK, although the main reason for relocating from the UK was their job. A relatively small proportion (11%), respondents in Canada appear most likely to consider moving back to the UK.

The weak pound has hit pensions hard and the research reveals that one in five (20%) expats claim a sterling pension. Over a quarter of Brits living in Spain (28%) and over a third of British expats in Germany (33%) rely on this as a core source of income. Yet, the research reveals that nearly a quarter (22%) do not monitor the currency markets to avoid losing out money when making overseas payments. 

David Kerns, Head of Private Clients at Moneycorp, comments: “Our research findings are not surprising as a high number of Brits living overseas rely on their pension as a key source of income, as well as sterling income from house lettings in the UK and their savings.

Given the current weakness of sterling, currency specialists can offer important savings on transfers to and from the UK. Consolidating payments into larger lump sums can help avoid transfer fees. Alternatively, for people with pensions or other regular income from the UK, a Regular Payment Plan will also allow Brits living abroad to plan ahead and lock into favourable rates to make sure they get the most out of their hard earned cash.”

Source: Moneycorp

Article originally published by Europe Real Estate



Like 0        Published at 8:08 PM   Comments (1)


Spain Tops Misery Index
Friday, December 18, 2009

The economist Arthur Okun coined the “misery index” in the 1960s. It was the sum of the unemployment rate and inflation at any given time. Today, Spain is at the top of it.

Pairing these two indicators made sense not only because both are economic phenomena that hurt regular people, but also because efforts to reduce unemployment can elevate inflation, and vice versa. Keeping both numbers low and steady is a delicate balancing act.

When both are big, as happened in the ’70s and early ’80s when the index peaked, the effect is painful and hard to fix.

But today inflation fears are relatively quiet, and yet there is still another factor that is complicating efforts to bring downSpain's unemployment rate.

Given this new balancing act, and the fact that both unemployment and unmanageable debt arguably lead to economic misery, analysts at Moody’s have proposed a new misery index. This one instead uses the unemployment rate and the fiscal deficit as a percent of gross domestic product.

In Moody's new league of misery, Spain tops the charts thanks to its unemployment rate of close to 30%.

Spain's high unemployment rate is very closely linked to the collapse of the Spanish property market - which, until 2007, kept much of the nation working directly, or in associated industries.

Story from NY Times

Spain is also at the bottom of another league - this time a Bloomberg's survey of economists.

All but one country is expected to see GDP growth in 2010. Spain is the lone country expected to see a decline in GDP at -0.40%.

Source:  Kyero.com



Like 0        Published at 10:21 AM   Comments (0)


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