2010-03-22
Polaris World went to the courts on 22nd December to seek 3 months protection from their creditors to avoid being pushed into bankruptcy.
Today is the 22nd March, so technically today is their last chance to salvage the company from the ashes of their former empire.
10 days ago an announcement from Polaris managagement assured the world that things were pretty much agreed and that a few "minor details" had to be confirmed before an official announcement was made about the future of the company.
Since then there has been silence.
Absolute silence.
Not a whisper in the press, not a murmur, or a comment, or an article speculating what the terms of the agreement could be.
Nothing.
Understandably , these negotiations would have been hard, more than hard, desperate.
Polaris bit off more than it could chew with the final Condado development which has sucked cash from Polaris resources and left it drained and bleeding on the ground. Massive investment in land, infrastructure, facilities for the sale of a paltry 3000 apartments.
Many watched open-mouthed as the development began just as the property market started to slide, astonished that so much money was being pumped into the most ambitious development yet. Massive infrastructure grew from the plains, thousands of trees were planted and a few little rows of white apartments appeared in the far corner of an enormous space.
News soon filtered out that apartment purchasers were being offered good deals to exchange properties they had bought off-plan for those which were already built, and many started to suspect that once this first phase has been completed that no further development would be started.
As Spain slid into a property slump, the scale of the property boom meltdown became apparent, with more than a million unsold properties littering the coastline.
Polaris renegotiated a billion euros worth of debt, giving away the land purchased for the second phase of Condado de Alhama and surrendering hundreds of unsold properties to the banks, hopeful that it could continue trading. But within just 3 months they owed a further 120 million euros, ongoing expenses, wages, rents and monies owed to suppliers accumulating to push them back into a state of negative liquidity, the stagnant property market failing to yield capital to cover expenses.
Since then, they've been renegotiating to try and avoid bankruptcy.
The banks are going to play hardball, and so they should. Valuable businesses which earn money are what the banks want, not more unsaleable properties to clog up their asset sheets, they want management companies, golf courses, resorts with completed infrastructures which function efficiently and profitably, not empty apartments.
And as the weeks have gone by without settlement being announced, the likelihood of Polaris obtaining a favourable deal became smaller and smaller.
Sources close to the action have said that a complete carve-up is inevitable, with several parties apparently interested in acquiring parts of the Polaris pie, and we've all been waiting anxiously for confirmation of who is getting what and how the new structure will function.
The big spanner in the works of course is the possibility that Paramount may build its new theme park here, in which case the assets held by Polaris, which are unsaleable now will be worth a fortune.
Some have speculated this weekend that the silence could indicate a deal with Paramount and the consortium who will build this theme park IF it happens, the Polaris assets forming part of the consortium team, but others say this is unlikely as the first stage of feasibility studies are still in progress and it is unrealistic to think that a decision of this magnitude could be made BEFORE the correct procedures have been followed.
Unless, of course, it was a done deal before Pedro Cruz, the Minister for Culture came back from Dubai, which, of course is entirely possible. With the banks offering the Condado land to the studios, it could have been in everyones minds, and big bankers move in big circles, so who is to say the banks didn't know about this studio deal before these negotiations even began.
If they suspected this could happen, and it DOES happen, they've made an amazing, far sighted investment on behalf of their clients.
Or maybe they just got lucky.
The other possibility is that Polaris are negotiating hard, knowing full well that what they have now COULD be worth a fortune, IF Paramount goes ahead.
Or somebody who thinks, or knows, that this Paramount deal is going to go happen, is sticking a spanner in the works by joining the negotiations, or even purchasing Polaris outright, or maybe giving them the backing to stay liguid.
There are so many "ifs" for Polaris and this Paramount deal. News has just come in that Brussels have still not ruled on the legality of the Corvera airport bail-out plan. IF they rule it illegal it makes the case for Murcia considerably weaker as this airport is part of the big fat carrot being dangled in front of Paramount.But until they make an official ruling it's just another IF on a long list of If's.
But the clock is ticking today and the law waits for no man.
One of the Spanish papers reported the date for the official process as being the 29th, but this is the only place this date has appeared, the dates quoted on the original court papers as three months from the 22nd December.
It's the 22nd March.
Watch this space.